Invited Review
The Shifting Demographics of Spinal Cord Injury: Important Implications for Medicine and Society
Karlo M. Pedro, MD University Health Network University of Toronto Toronto, ON, Canada
Jamie R. F. Wilson, MD, MSc University of Nebraska Medical Center Omaha, NE
Joseph S. Butler, MD, PhD UCD School of Medicine Dublin, Ireland
Michael G. Fehlings, MD, PhD, FRCSC University Health Network University of Toronto Toronto, ON, Canada
Introduction
Neurotrauma involving the brain and spine has been referred to as the “silent epidemic” in our modern times.¹⁻³ Spinal cord injury (SCI) remains a major public health issue, affecting 900,000 individuals globally.⁴ It is a leading cause of death and permanent disability, with profound impact at both the individual and societal levels. For many years, a bimodal age distribution has characterized the collective epidemiology of this condition, affecting the young (age 15-29 years) and the elderly (≥60 years).⁵ At the turn of the century, however, advances in medical therapeutics and research have resulted in a demographic shift wherein individuals over 65 years of age represent the fastest-growing segment of the population. Although major strides in the realm of public health in high-income countries have been successful in curbing the incidence of SCI due to motor vehicular collisions (MVC), sporting injuries and work-related trauma, the number of elderly individuals suffering from SCI continues to rise dramatically, specifically due to fall-related traumas. Aarabi et al showed that over a 17-year period, the mean age and proportion of SCI due to falls increased significantly, whereas the number of SCIs resulting from MVCs and sports injuries have decreased.⁶ Awareness of the issues specific to older segments of the SCI population have arguably never been more important. In this work, the current status and challenges in the management of elderly SCI patients are examined. We hope this will stimulate a renewed interest in age specific research and development, particularly considering the broader concept of frailty. Demographics Data from the World Health Organization (WHO) indicate that individuals aged >60 years represent 12% of the entire population worldwide.⁷ In the US, individuals within this age group represent the fastest-growing demographic segment.⁸ Medical breakthroughs crucial in reducing fatal diseases, along with improved care of the elderly, have resulted in this major demographic shift. By 2050, it is projected that the proportion of elderly in the global population will increase to 22%, with an absolute number expected to reach up to 2.1 billion.⁷ This upsurge is occurring at an exceptionally fast rate and is expected to continue in the coming decades. While it was previously believed that such unprecedented changes were limited primarily to developed countries, contemporary research suggests that this shift is also occurring in low- and middle-income countries. The UN General Assembly, as part of its declaration of the UN Decade of Healthy Aging (2021-2030), estimates that approximately two-thirds of the world’s population over 60 years will be living in low- and middle-income countries by the end of the decade.⁷ This remarkable demographic change worldwide has resulted in a parallel increase in the incidence of trauma involving the elderly population. Data from the National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB) for 2014 show that more than a third (39%) of all trauma patients were individuals aged >55 years old and death among this group constituted 54% of all reported mortality.⁹ Globally, the temporal trend in the incidence of SCI shows an increasing rate with advancing age. By the year 2032, patients over 70 years will account for the majority of patients sustaining traumatic SCIs.¹⁰ This rapid rise of SCI in the elderly population is further highlighted in a US study that shows an increasing mean age of SCI patients from 40 years in 1993 to 50 years in 2012, most of which were sustained from fall-related injuries.¹¹
Mortality in Geriatric SCI
Varying rates of SCI-related mortality in the elderly have been reported. The rates range from 12-40% and are consistently higher than the rates reported for younger patients.¹² Despite survivorship after traumatic SCI improving steadily since 1970, the mortality rates remain significantly elevated in both the acute and chronic phase of the disease for the elderly.¹³ While urinary tract complications and renal failure were classically thought to be the leading causes of death, more recent investigations suggest that respiratory dysfunction, including pneumonia, is the most common cause of mortality among SCI patients. In older patients, the consequences of prolonged intubation and mechanical ventilation may be substantial. Furlan et al reported an overall rate of mortality as high as 38.6% and that this risk is sustained at 6 weeks, 6 months, and 1 year after injury.¹⁴ The generally uniform finding of increased mortality is consistent with the concept of “biological aging” that leads to altered physiologic reserve and decreased capacity to cope with the systemic stressors of SCI. In general, mortality risk increases as the degree of neurologic impairment rises. However, age at the time of injury has proven to be an equally important determinant of outcome.¹⁵ Various studies have attempted to model the risk predictors for mortality in SCI and these studies note a distinct age-related pattern with higher deaths among older patients.¹²
Morbidity and Complications after SCI
Despite increasing mortality, the rates of surgical treatment for traumatic SCI continue to rise.¹⁶ Elderly patients have more medical problems and are more likely to be on multiple medication regimens. These factors may delay timely surgical intervention. In patients undergoing surgery for decompression and/or stabilization, Ahn et al noted a higher incidence of postoperative complications (eg, UTI, pneumonia, pressure ulcers, DVT) in patients over the age of 70.¹⁷ A recent report that stratified patients into different age groups similarly reported higher rates of complications in patients from 65-69 years old.¹⁶ Interestingly, however, in comparison to younger patients, geriatric patients had similar length of ICU stay with no significant age related differences in rates of neurological improvement. This is a critical point. Due to medical comorbidities, nonoperative treatment has, historically, been more commonly prescribed in elderly patients. This has led to delays in appropriate treatment. Data from a registry study of 1,250 SCI patients stratified into two age groups suggested that older patients were less likely to undergo timely surgical intervention; they experienced more delays in management from time of injury to arrival (triage time) as well as to time from admission to surgery (management time). Both were more than twice as long as the times reported for younger patients.¹⁷ Postoperative delirium is a particular problem in the elderly. In the general spine surgery population, the reported rates range from 0.49 to 21%. In elderly SCI patients, the incidence is 7-9%.¹⁵⁻¹⁶ The consequences of delirium in the elderly population can be significant and may translate to longer hospital length of stay, need for extended care, cognitive dysfunction, postoperative functional decline, dementia and increased mortality. Leslie et al found that delirium in hospitalized non-ICU patients had a 62% increased risk of mortality with an average loss of 13% in life years.²⁰ A clear association between postoperative delirium and old age is noted in a study by Cheung et al and further confirmed by a recent systematic review.²¹⁻²²
Long Term Survivorship and Functional Outcomes
A discussion on the relationship between aging and survivorship after SCI brings into focus two interrelated concepts: i) the increasing age at the time of injury and ii) increasing life expectancy after SCI. The first relationship is generally correlated with the aging population. The maturation of the “baby boomer” generation (birth dates between 1946 and 1964) has led to a geometric increase in the elderly population, especially in Western industrialized countries. At the same time, the life expectancy after SCI has generally improved over the last decade, primarily as a result of improved intensive care and advanced medical and rehabilitation practices. Taken together, these two factors have resulted in an increasing number of patients living with SCI at an advanced age and still suffering with the chronic consequences of the injury. Historically, SCI was considered a fatal disease with poor prospects for survival and recovery. Longitudinal studies of survival rates and life expectancy after SCI, however, have shown remarkable improvement since 1970 corresponding to progress made in SCI therapeutics. Strauss et al reviewed over 30,000 cases of SCI from 1973 to 2004 and identified a 40% decline in mortality, particularly during the first two years after injury.²³ The life expectancy of an SCI patient, however, remains lower compared to the general population.²⁴ A study by DeVivo et al indicated that survival is also adversely affected by age, with only 22.6% surviving among patients >50 years old compared to 86.7% reported in the general population.²⁵ A more recent study by Arul et al reports a similar drop in survival among older patients, albeit with a slightly better estimate of 37.5%.¹⁶ As previously noted, long-term functional outcomes differ between young and old SCI patients. Physiology clearly plays a role. Basic studies into the dynamics of spinal cord repair have shown that age plays a key role in modulating microglial activation, oxidative stress, and regulating the inflammatory cascade during secondary injury.²⁶ Clinical studies of the natural history of patients with SCI, however, have not suggested clear advantages for younger patients in terms of potential for clinical recovery. In fact, in a secondary analysis of the NASCIS 3 trial results by Furlan et al, motor recovery seemed to be better among older patients, but this association was not maintained after adjustment for other confounding variables.¹⁴ Interestingly, sensory recovery was consistently greater in elderly individuals with SCI compared to the younger cohort. A more recent 10-year US database review supports similar in-hospital recovery rates between older and younger patients at time of discharge.²⁶ Likewise, in a cohort of uniformly elderly patients aged >65 years, severity of injury at admission, and not age, was the strongest predictor of functional outcome.²⁷
The Central Issue
As a result of reduced physiologic reserve, multiple comorbidities, and polypharmacy, geriatric patients are more susceptible to falls resulting in SCI with or without concomitant traumatic brain injury (TBI). Anatomically, they are more at risk of significant spinal injury and fractures due to poor bone mineralization, age-related degenerative changes, concurrent osteoporosis and increased spinal rigidity. Age at the time of injury is also related to the type of neurologic injury sustained. Central cord injury is a form of incomplete spinal cord injury secondary to hyperextension in the setting of a narrowed spinal canal and/or pre-existing spondylosis. Typical patients are elderly individuals with no overt signs of spinal instability and may present with a spectrum of symptoms ranging from mild numbness to tetraplegia. In retrospective cohort studies of geriatric patients, central cord syndrome (CCS) was noted to be the most common form of SCI in the elderly.²⁸ Historically, central cord syndrome is treated nonoperatively due to fear of causing further injury in a condition that has a favorable natural history. Recent evidence, however, suggests that early decompression is likely to produce a higher chance of meaningful neurological recovery than delayed surgery.²⁹
Looking Beyond the Lens of Age: Concept of Frailty
Although age is widely recognized as a risk factor for poor outcomes after SCI, some studies, as previously noted, indicate that elderly patients may respond well with aggressive treatment, achieving rates of good functional outcomes comparable to, or even better than, their younger counterparts. This suggests that chronological age is an inadequate and unreliable prognostic marker of an individual’s potential for recovery after SCI. The concept of frailty, introduced nearly three decades ago in geriatric medicine literature, is currently felt to be a more dependable tool to evaluate the health status of older adults. Frailty is defined as a state of homeostatic imbalance resulting in the loss of physiologic and cognitive reserve to respond to stress.³⁰ This concept is not synonymous with age, but rather represents a complex intersection between age-related decline with chronic disease and conditions that accumulate with age. Frailty has been consistently proven to be associated with mortality and is correlated with various measures of “geriatric condition” such as cognitive decline, disability, dementia, falls, fractures, depression, worsening mobility, lower quality of life, and activity dependence. A systematic review by Moskoven et al supports the reliability of frailty score as a predictor of adverse outcome and mortality in the elderly SCI population.³¹ Currently, around 11 frailty scores are used in spine surgery and no single tool is universally supported by guidelines or recommended by consensus.³² Various grading schema have been proposed, ranging from a few clinical variables to extensive checklists that include laboratory, radiologic, and surgical data. A frailty scoring tool using the Risk Analysis Index (RAI) was recently validated among SCI patients and has shown superior discriminative performance compared to modified frailty index score (mFI-5).³³ The mFI-5 serves as a straightforward and practical frailty scoring assessment tool applicable for point-of-care frailty evaluation and prognostication. Recent research has highlighted its notable predictive capabilities for various outcomes in patients with spinal cord injury, including the likelihood of return to operating room, functional independence, and in-hospital mortality.³⁴⁻³⁶ Its simplicity, compared to other frailty assessment tools, and minimal reliance on intricate laboratory and imaging modalities enhance its practicality, making it an appealing tool for clinicians managing SCI.³⁷
An 80-year-old woman with past history of hypertension and C3-6 ACDF 15 years prior for myelopathy presents after a ground level fall with progressive right sided hemiparesis over the course of hours. She presented 4 days after the fall exhibiting hyper-reflexia in the left upper and lower limbs, with flaccid 1/5 paralysis on the right side. CT Cervical spine demonstrated no evidence of fractures, but MRI revealed critical stenosis at the C2/3 junction with high signal in the cord from C2 to T2 [Sagittal T2 MRI Image A, Axial T2 MRI Image B with cord outlined]. She underwent an emergency C1 – C5 fusion with C2 & C3 laminectomy [Sagittal X Ray Image C] and MAP goals in the ICU for 48 hours. At 72 hours after surgery she regained 4+/5 strength in her right side and was ambulatory.
Management Consideration in Geriatric SCI
Optimal functional recovery is highly dependent on prompt recognition and appropriate, timely surgical intervention to minimize the secondary injury that ensues after SCI. Early decompressive surgery with or without stabilization at <24 hours from injury is usually recommended, especially in patients who present with neurologic deficits.³⁸,³⁹ As with any other surgical procedure, however, the benefits of operative intervention must be carefully balanced against the inherent risks and appropriate selection of alternative therapies. The typical goals of surgery include decompression of neural elements, stabilization, and prevention of deformity in the setting of overall patient safety, risk, and cost. Surgical risk is considerably higher in older patients and in those with significant comorbidities. However, older patients also may present with greater injury severity and disability that may warrant prompt surgery in order to provide the best chance of achieving good outcomes. Reviews of local and national databases show conflicting rates of surgical intervention in the elderly. Brodell et al studied surgery for central cord syndrome using National Inpatient Sample between 2003 and 2010.⁴⁰ Over the 7-year study period, although the rates of surgery increased by an average of 40% each year, increasing age was associated with a decreased rate of surgical intervention. In contrast, in reviewing the trends of management for both traumatic and nontraumatic SCI in a US Level 1 trauma center, Ge at al found that surgery is more common than conservative treatment across all age groups, and rates of surgery increased with advancing age (58.8% in <35 yo, 73.7% in 35-64 yo and 82.1% in ≥65 yo).⁴¹ Rates of mortality and morbidity were higher in older individuals compared to the younger cohort in both studies. Thus, a dilemma often arises in making decisions regarding the management of elderly SCI patients. Evidence-based guidelines are currently lacking and often the final decision rests upon expert opinion and experience among the treating team members. To aid in selection, multiple prediction tools have been published incorporating measures of frailty status and sarcopenia, as these were previously identified as strong predictors of poor outcome in geriatric patients. Taking these measures into account, a multidisciplinary team composed of spine experts have recently drafted an updated clinical practice guideline on the timing of surgery based on an “evidence-to-recommendation” framework.⁴² Hopefully, this work will be a major aid in decision making.
Societal Impact of an Aging SCI Population
Epidemiologic data clearly show that the increasing number of aged individuals is compounded by the fact that falls are the major cause of SCI in this age group. Thus, in addition to the clinical management strategies discussed above, public health efforts geared towards preventing fall-related events represent a major step in reducing morbidity and mortality. Approaches aimed at reducing polypharmacy in individual geriatric patients will help to lessen its negative consequences on patients and the health care system. Strategies to improve cognitive and general health status with a focus on optimizing vision, gait retraining, and maintaining adequate vitamin D levels will help target key risk factors associated with falls in elderly individuals.⁴³ High-risk patients may require enrollment into strengthening and balance programs as well as footwear modifications to reduce the odds of indoor slips. Additionally, specific environmental modifications that involve a comprehensive assessment of home, work, and school factors are important measures to reduce rates of outdoor falls. Even walking surfaces, handrails, lighting fixtures, and slip resistant outdoor surfaces are crucial components of fall reduction programs in the community.⁴³ Traumatic SCI was considered the most expensive disease in a review of the 29 most costly chronic conditions.⁴⁴ Among American veterans, the mean annual cost of traumatic SCI is estimated at $49,600 USD (2017). The economic impact of SCI is substantial and cost figures are generally higher in developed countries. The average lifetime economic burden of traumatic SCI is estimated to be $1.5M Canadian dollars (CAD) for incomplete tetraplegia and $3.0M CAD for complete tetraplegia.⁴⁵ With the aging population, evidence suggests that the cost maybe even higher in the elderly SCI population compared to younger patients with SCI.⁴⁴ The substantial societal cost of SCI should therefore provide strong basis for support of research aimed at prevention and control initiatives. Additionally, SCI requires adequate rehabilitation services to optimize functional and neurological recovery. The ability of elderly SCI patients to return to the community and regain some semblance of independence relies on their ability to adapt to new needs. Ensuring the regular availability of professionals, which includes occupational therapy, physical therapy, speech therapy, and neuropsychology, is dependent on strong support from policy makers and third party payors. Furthermore, in the context of geriatric SCI, spirituality and social support are integral in contributing to resilience and well-being. Altogether, in the context of aging and SCI, these services are critically important.
Conclusion and Future Directions
Although research on geriatric SCI has substantially expanded in recent years, older patients remain under-represented in major SCI studies.⁴⁶ Strict exclusion criteria based on medical comorbidities and age have systematically excluded geriatric patients, and this may have a negative impact on efforts to understand the true epidemiology and outcomes in this special population. A comprehensive and practical assessment tool of preinjury health and functional status remains an important research objective to inform clinicians on selection of individualized, value-based management. The economic and long-term impact of providing health care packages in the community, including home-based support or specialist rehabilitative services, needs further investigation. As the world’s population continues to grow and age, the number of older adults with SCI is expected to continue to increase and strain our health care system. There is an urgent need to design geriatric-specific prognostic models that reflect existing estimates of morbidity and mortality risks, and one which puts greater emphasis on the utility of frailty status rather than age as an independent indicator of declining physiological reserve. The next crucial step in our quest is to move beyond “ageism” and to address the shifting demographics of SCI by developing evidence-based guidelines to support informed decision making regarding aggressive versus nonsurgical management in order to optimally tailor treatment, rehabilitative and preventive strategies in this vulnerable population.
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